A model projecting lower overall turnout also shows Menendez with a comfortable lead of 51% to 39%. The incumbent’s lead expands to 50%-39% using a model that incorporates a turnout surge in Democratic areas of the state. Hugin actually has the advantage among white voters without a college degree (49%-41%), but this group comprises fewer than 4-in-10 likely voters in New Jersey. Menendez also has a slight 48%-45% lead among white voters with a college degree. The largest group of undecided voters is comprised of those from Latino, black, Asian and other non-white backgrounds (17%), with whom the incumbent has a formidable 63%-19% lead otherwise. The remaining 8% of likely voters are undecided. Each receives 1% support while a generic “some other candidate” – there are an additional four names on the ballot – also receives 1%. The poll also included Libertarian Murray Sabrin and the Green Party’s Madelyn Hoffman among the list of named candidates. Menendez currently holds a 49% to 40% lead over Hugin among likely voters using Monmouth’s standard midterm turnout model. Regardless of how they feel about Menendez, voters say that President Donald Trump is ultimately a bigger factor in their choice for Senate. While voters tend to hold a negative view of the Democratic incumbent, most feel that the behavior that led to his recent trial was probably no worse than what most other politicians do. Senate, according to the latest Monmouth University Poll.
Hugin senate full#
West Long Branch, NJ – Bob Menendez holds a lead of between 9 and 12 points over Bob Hugin in the former’s bid for a third full term in the U.S.
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